Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan 10/23/2021

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Northern Illinois winning 45% of simulations, and Central Michigan 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Northern Illinois commits fewer turnovers in 6% of simulations and they go on to win 63% when they take care of the ball. Central Michigan wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Rocky Lombardi is averaging 252 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (28% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Jacob Sirmon is averaging 273 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (46% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CMICH -5.5 --- Over/Under line is 58.5
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